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Weekly Economic Update February 13, 2017

WEEKLY QUOTE

“I’m convinced that about half of what separates the successful entrepreneurs from the non-successful ones is pure perseverance.”

     – Steve Jobs

WEEKLY TIP

Many people stay with the same bank for decades. Online tools now make it easier to compare various banks. If you find your bank’s fees irritating or its ATM network insufficient, you can explore your options.

WEEKLY RIDDLE

Call loudly it does for great distances, thanks to its hard shell and tongue. Yet it will never breathe in making its noise, for it has no lung. What is it?

Last week’s riddle:

It doesn’t have eyes, but once it held two. It once held thoughts, but is now empty. What could it be?

Last week’s answer:

A skull.

 

CONSUMER SENTIMENT SLIPS A BIT

The University of Michigan’s preliminary February index of consumer sentiment came in at a reading of 95.7 Friday, compared with a final January mark of 98.5 (which was a 13-year peak). Economists polled by Bloomberg had expected a slight decline to 98.0. While this was the index’s lowest level in three months, it still topped many of the monthly readings from 2016.1

HOW IS EARNINGS SEASON GOING?

Nearly two-thirds of S&P 500 members have issued Q4 results so far. As Zacks Investment Research noted Wednesday, more than 69% of these S&P components have beaten earnings-per-share estimates; more than 54% have surpassed revenue forecasts. Total Q4 earnings for S&P firms are projected to rise 7.3% over Q4 2015, the strongest annual earnings growth since Q4 2014.2

GOLD GAINS AS OIL WAVERS

Gold futures advanced 1.12% on the COMEX during a choppy week to a Friday settlement of $1,233.30. Light sweet crude for March delivery dipped at midweek, but then rebounded, settling at $53.81 Friday for a 5-day retreat of just 0.09%.3

STOCKS PUSH HIGHER

Wall Street rallied strongly Friday after President Trump (and the White House) mentioned an upcoming outline for business and individual income tax reform. For the week, the S&P 500 gained 0.81% to 2,316.10; the Nasdaq, 1.19% to 5,734.13; and the Dow, 0.99% to 20,269.37.4,5

THIS WEEK: On Monday, Noble Energy, Rent-A-Center, and Snyder’s-Lance offer earnings news. Tuesday, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen begins two days of testifying to Congress on monetary policy; the January PPI also arrives, plus earnings from Agilent Technologies, AIG, Devon Energy, Dr. Pepper Snapple, Express Scripts, Molson Coors, and T-Mobile. Reports on January retail sales and industrial output appear Wednesday, along with the January CPI and earnings announcements from Analog Devices, Applied Materials, Avis Budget Group, CBS, Choice Hotels, Cisco, Denny’s, GoDaddy, Groupon, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Huntsman, Kraft Heinz, Marathon Oil, Marriott International, NetApp, NetEase, PepsiCo, TiVo, TripAdvisor, and Wyndham Worldwide. Thursday offers fresh data on building permits, housing starts, and initial claims; investors also review earnings from Avon, Boise Cascade, Cabela’s, Dean Foods, DISH Network, Duke Energy, Hyatt, and Waste Management. Bloomin’ Brands, Campbell Soup, Deere, Fluor, J.M. Smucker, and Spectra Energy announce earnings Friday.

 

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA +2.56 +27.36 +11.67 +6.11
NASDAQ +6.52 +33.86 +19.49 +13.31
S&P 500 +3.45 +25.07 +14.50 +6.11
REAL YIELD 2/10 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 0.40% 0.50% -0.24% 2.43%

 

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 2/10/175,6,7,8

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

 

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Investment Advisor Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker/Dealer, Member FINRA/SIPC. Cambridge and Independence Capital Financial Partners are not affiliated.

 

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

 

Citations.

1 – bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-10/u-s-consumer-sentiment-cooled-in-february-on-views-of-finances [2/10/17]

2 – zacks.com/commentary/103286/positive-earnings-picture [2/8/17]

3 – markets.on.nytimes.com/research/markets/commodities/commodities.asp [2/10/17]

4 – thehill.com/policy/finance/318736-trump-expect-phenomenal-announcement-on-taxes-in-coming-weeks [2/9/17]

5 – markets.wsj.com/us [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F10%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F10%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F10%2F16&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F10%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F10%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F10%2F12&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=2%2F9%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=2%2F9%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=2%2F9%2F07&x=0&y=0 [2/10/17]

7 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [2/10/17]

8 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [2/10/17]

 

555 E. Butterfield Rd.

Suite 212

Lombard, IL  60148